Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.838342 0.979714 1.137404 1.326324 1.546535 1.795164 2.097287
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.606649 0.792239 1.022925 1.330724 1.730851 2.233770 2.914703
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.476691 0.673763 0.938335 1.319479 1.854921 2.581225 3.643232
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.392583 0.591733 0.876359 1.312755 1.965689 2.907894 4.374381
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.336600 0.536333 0.837638 1.325157 2.095359 3.267734 5.193540
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.280723 0.470089 0.769894 1.278914 2.123158 3.471024 5.794411
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.262582 0.460052 0.786732 1.366217 2.370797 4.045727 7.062224
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.225450 0.411932 0.733273 1.326943 2.399227 4.260410 7.751428
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.193864 0.368413 0.680886 1.280563 2.406084 4.434544 8.386785
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.168455 0.332212 0.636096 1.240594 2.416966 4.613545 9.049507
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.154791 0.316161 0.625985 1.263588 2.547605 5.026916 10.206548
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.149634 0.315997 0.645911 1.347146 2.806035 5.714206 11.988835
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.139541 0.304817 0.643496 1.387311 2.986662 6.279367 13.619444
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.127318 0.287482 0.626393 1.394964 3.101775 6.728467 15.075690
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.115013 0.268088 0.602134 1.383350 3.172843 7.092206 16.394075
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.104586 0.251375 0.581358 1.376311 3.252481 7.483428 17.826097
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.096793 0.239636 0.570089 1.389313 3.379319 7.995230 19.605614
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.085854 0.218762 0.534919 1.340836 3.354150 8.153740 20.565609
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.084557 0.221511 0.556150 1.432356 3.681091 9.184986 23.803149
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.075841 0.204149 0.526007 1.391185 3.671061 9.397018 25.007804
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.067726 0.187196 0.494656 1.342565 3.635193 9.539708 26.052552
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.060833 0.172538 0.467281 1.300665 3.611265 9.709593 27.193099
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.057570 0.167431 0.464422 1.324770 3.768967 10.375125 29.776646